🏛️ Political Fantasy · Polymarket
Obama federally charged before 2027?
Federal charges against a former president within two months, with no public case in sight, is a scenario prediction markets love to romanticize. Dreaming is free; indictments take paperwork and evidence.
Absurd premise, but the crowd prices it too high (or too little money is in it) to make the Hall of Shame.
The hype curve (YES price)
Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.
The fine print (official resolution rules from Polymarket. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Tags: Politics, obama, Trump · Listed Nov 4, 2025 · Judged Oct 31, 2026 by anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
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