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๐Ÿš€ Space Fantasy ยท Kalshi

Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

Humans Not Yet Rated for Mars

Starship has never flown a single person. Launching a crew to Mars by 2029 needs a ship certified to keep people alive for months. Ambitious is one word for it.

See it on Kalshi โ†—

The hype curve (YES price)

0%15%30%Alert day: 21%Dec 1, 2024Oct 31, 2026

Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.

The fine print (official resolution rules from Kalshi. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)

If SpaceX launches a manned Starship mission to Mars by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tags: Companies ยท Listed Mar 22, 2024 ยท Judged Oct 31, 2026 by claude (manual review)

More bets like this

Human moon landing in 2026?

Crewed Moon Landing Fantasy

No crewed lander is anywhere near the launch pad, and the Moon does not care about your 2026 deadline. Betting on a human touchdown this year is pure launchpad optimism.

YES price
1%
Money in
$2.0M
Deadline
62d
Jan 1, 2027

๐Ÿ“‰ Alert day 3.2% โ†’ now 1% ยท day-one NO +2.3%

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Trump goes to space in 2026?

Presidential Rocket Ride Unlikely

Betting a sitting president blasts past the 50-mile space threshold this year treats Air Force One like a launch vehicle. The only thing going to space here is the hype.

YES price
2.6%
Money in
$66.6K
Deadline
62d
Jan 1, 2027

๐Ÿ“‰ Alert day 2.5% โ†’ now 2.6% ยท day-one NO โˆ’0.2%

See it on Polymarket โ†—