⏳ Physics-Defying · Kalshi
Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
A superconductor at 240 K and normal pressure, peer-reviewed in a top journal, in the next two months. Physics has chased this for a century; the deadline is New Year's Eve.
The hype curve (YES price)
Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.
The fine print (official resolution rules from Kalshi. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
If a peer-reviewed paper published in an eligible journal reports the discovery of a material exhibiting the Meissner effect at ambient pressure with a critical temperature of at least 240 K before January 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Eligible journals are those in the first quartile (Q1) of SCImago's condensed matter physics ranking or any journal with an SJR above 1.0. The material need not be a previously researched substance.
Tags: Science and Technology · Listed May 13, 2026 · Judged Oct 31, 2026 by claude (manual review)
More bets like this
Is Earth flat?
Satellites, ships, and every airline pilot have filed a joint objection. Gravity has not been consulted and remains firmly in charge.
- YES price
- 0.6%
- Money in
- $68.8K
- Deadline
- 62d Jan 1, 2027
📉 Alert day 2.1% → now 0.6% · day-one NO +1.5%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No magnitude 10 has ever been recorded, and the Earth may not have a fault long enough to make one. You are betting that geology breaks its own record by roughly 30x in two months.
- YES price
- 1.5%
- Money in
- $834.0K
- Deadline
- 93d Feb 1, 2027
📉 Alert day 4.7% → now 1.5% · day-one NO +3.4%
Will Alberta join the US?
A Canadian province formally becoming a US state would require a constitutional process and a lot of consent nobody has signaled. Pricing it at 2.4 percent is generous fan fiction.
- YES price
- 1.7%
- Money in
- $2.2M
- Deadline
- 62d Jan 1, 2027
📉 Alert day 3.5% → now 1.7% · day-one NO +1.8%