Live from the prediction markets ยท Saturday, October 31

People have bet $188.1M on things that will not happen.

Every hour an AI reads every new bet on Polymarket and Kalshi, ignores the sports and the crypto, and drags the most absurd ones out here for public humiliation. All of them are real. All of them are open. You can bet on every one.

#01

Is Earth flat?

Gravity Says No

Satellites, ships, and every airline pilot have filed a joint objection. Gravity has not been consulted and remains firmly in charge.

YES price
0.6%
Money in
$68.8K
Deadline
62d
Jan 1, 2027

๐Ÿ“‰ Alert day 2.1% โ†’ now 0.6% ยท day-one NO +1.5%

See it on Polymarket โ†—
#02

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

The Planet Would Need a Bigger Fault

No magnitude 10 has ever been recorded, and the Earth may not have a fault long enough to make one. You are betting that geology breaks its own record by roughly 30x in two months.

YES price
1.4%
Money in
$834.0K
Deadline
93d
Feb 1, 2027

๐Ÿ“‰ Alert day 4.7% โ†’ now 1.4% ยท day-one NO +3.5%

See it on Polymarket โ†—

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