Live from the prediction markets ยท Saturday, October 31

People have bet $188.1M on things that will not happen.

Every hour an AI reads every new bet on Polymarket and Kalshi, ignores the sports and the crypto, and drags the most absurd ones out here for public humiliation. All of them are real. All of them are open. You can bet on every one.

#01

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Little Green Paperwork Pending

The fine print is looser than the title: any federal agency confirming even microbial life would count. Still, NASA has nothing pending and two months is short notice for a cosmic press conference.

Top outcome
3.2%
December 31
Money in
$75.9M
Deadline
62d
Jan 1, 2027

๐Ÿ“‰ Alert day 8% โ†’ now 3.2% ยท day-one NO +5.3%

See it on Polymarket โ†—

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