👽 Aliens & UFOs · Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
The fine print is looser than the title: any federal agency confirming even microbial life would count. Still, NASA has nothing pending and two months is short notice for a cosmic press conference.
The hype curve (YES price · December 31)
Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.
The options people are paying for
- December 313.2%
- October 31<0.1%
- April 300%
- June 300%
- September 300%
- May 310%
- March 310%
The fine print (official resolution rules from Polymarket. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Tags: Aliens, Politics, Culture, Science · Listed Nov 25, 2025 · Judged Oct 31, 2026 by claude (manual review)
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