🏛️ Political Fantasy · Polymarket
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Turning a sovereign country into the 51st state in a few weeks makes map-makers blush. Even the most ambitious geography teacher would call this a stretch.
The hype curve (YES price)
Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.
The fine print (official resolution rules from Polymarket. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Tags: World, Politics, Geopolitics, Venezuela · Listed Jan 3, 2026 · Judged Oct 31, 2026 by anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
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