ποΈ Political Fantasy Β· Polymarket
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
Parlaying a federal charge, an arrest, and a divorce onto a former president is a fan-fiction plot with a Nothing Ever Happens coupon. The market is nearly sure the answer is nothing.
The fine print (official resolution rules from Polymarket. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
This market will resolve to βSomethingβ if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Obama federally charged - Obama arrested - Obama divorce Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNothingβ. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
Tags: Politics, Parlays Β· Listed Feb 10, 2026 Β· Judged Oct 31, 2026 by anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
More bets like this
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
The Third Amendment bans quartering soldiers in your home, and the Supreme Court has never decided a case on it. 11 cents says the redcoats are coming back before 2029.
- YES price
- 11%
- Money in
- $9.6K
- Deadline
- 812d Jan 20, 2029
π Alert day 9% β now 11% Β· day-one NO β2.2%
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?
Deporting a sitting US Representative is a legal fantasy, especially for a citizen, and the paperwork would bury any immigration officer. This market is pure political fan fiction with a deadline.
- Top outcome
- 9.5% June 30, 2027
- Money in
- $130.1K
- Deadline
- 243d Jul 1, 2027
π Alert day 28% β now 9.5% Β· day-one NO +25.7%
Will Alberta join the US?
A Canadian province formally becoming a US state would require a constitutional process and a lot of consent nobody has signaled. Pricing it at 2.4 percent is generous fan fiction.
- YES price
- 1.6%
- Money in
- $2.2M
- Deadline
- 62d Jan 1, 2027
π Alert day 3.5% β now 1.6% Β· day-one NO +1.9%