⏳ Physics-Defying · Polymarket
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
A chatbot company announcing a solution to a Millennium Prize problem is already a stretch, and now the market wants to know if it gets retracted. The fluid is not the only thing that is unstable here.
Absurd premise, but the crowd prices it too high (or too little money is in it) to make the Hall of Shame.
The hype curve (YES price)
Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.
The fine print (official resolution rules from Polymarket. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/). A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Tags: AI, Math, Tech, OpenAI, Science · Listed Sep 9, 2026 · Judged Oct 31, 2026 by anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
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