🏛️ Political Fantasy · Polymarket
Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?
Eric Adams is collecting citizenships like trading cards, and four countries are apparently ready to adopt the former NYC mayor by New Year's. Diplomacy has never looked this much like a fan-fiction reading list.
Absurd premise, but the crowd prices it too high (or too little money is in it) to make the Hall of Shame.
The hype curve (YES price · Israel)
Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.
The options people are paying for
- Israel14%
- Sudan8.9%
- China8%
- Russia7%
The fine print (official resolution rules from Polymarket. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Tags: Politics, Eric Adams, nyc, Albania, World, New York · Listed Apr 14, 2026 · Judged Oct 31, 2026 by anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
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