🏛️ Political Fantasy · Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Invading an allied territory would require a military offensive that makes a bad sequel look like a masterpiece. The snow-covered tanks alone would take longer than the year left.
Absurd premise, but the crowd prices it too high (or too little money is in it) to make the Hall of Shame.
The hype curve (YES price)
Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.
The fine print (official resolution rules from Polymarket. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Tags: Davos, Politics, Geopolitics, Trump, Greenland, Denmark · Listed Jan 5, 2026 · Judged Oct 31, 2026 by anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
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