🏛️ Political Fantasy · Polymarket
Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?
Trump endorsing a rebrand from ICE to NICE is a meme in search of a policy. Betting it happens by year end means betting on an acronym makeover outrunning any actual paperwork.
Absurd premise, but the crowd prices it too high (or too little money is in it) to make the Hall of Shame.
The hype curve (YES price)
Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.
The options people are paying for
- December 314.4%
- June 300%
- July 310%
The fine print (official resolution rules from Polymarket. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
On April 27, 2026, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt posted on X that President Donald J. Trump endorsed renaming Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE.” You can read more about that here: https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that changes the name of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any executive action or legislation that renames Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect or if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Tags: Politics, ICE, Trump · Listed Apr 27, 2026 · Judged Oct 31, 2026 by anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
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