🏛️ Political Fantasy · Polymarket
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
China must announce that citizens can buy Bitcoin with yuan by New Year's Eve. Beijing has re-banned crypto repeatedly since 2017 and is busy pushing its own digital yuan.
The hype curve (YES price)
Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.
The fine print (official resolution rules from Polymarket. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Tags: Crypto Legal, Politics, China, Geopolitics, Crypto, Bitcoin, Economy, World · Listed Nov 4, 2025 · Judged Nov 1, 2026 by claude (manual review)
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