💼 Corporate Fanfic · Polymarket
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Bitcoin must stop using SHA-256 by New Year's Eve. That means swapping the mining algorithm of a trillion-dollar network in two months, a hard fork its community has refused for 17 years.
The hype curve (YES price)
Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.
The fine print (official resolution rules from Polymarket. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
Tags: quantum, Protocol Upgrade, Crypto, Bitcoin, Science · Listed Nov 26, 2025 · Judged Nov 1, 2026 by claude (manual review)
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