🕵️ Conspiracy · Kalshi
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin before 2027?
Satoshi's coins have not moved since 2010. Same bet as on Polymarket, same Arkham rule.
The hype curve (YES price)
Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.
The fine print (official resolution rules from Kalshi. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Tags: Crypto · Listed Oct 18, 2025 · Judged Nov 1, 2026 by claude (manual review)
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