🏛️ Political Fantasy · Polymarket
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
A handshake between Trump and Iran's supreme leader would be the strangest photo op in history. Diplomacy usually begins with envoys, not a surprise summit at the top.
The hype curve (YES price)
Born overpriced, then reality sets in. Want the next one on day one? Get alerts.
The options people are paying for
- December 312.6%
- June 150%
- June 300%
- July 310%
The fine print (official resolution rules from Polymarket. Read them: this is where "impossible" bets get easy)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both specified individuals are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Tags: Trump, Middle East, Iran, Geopolitics, Politics, Iran Ceasefire, ayatollah, Peace Deal, Iran Regime, U.S. x Iran · Listed Jun 3, 2026 · Judged Oct 31, 2026 by anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
More bets like this
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Beijing does not announce its leader's marriage problems on official letterhead. A Xi divorce would need a state broadcast, and nobody in the Politburo is hitting publish on that.
- YES price
- 1%
- Money in
- $113.8K
- Deadline
- 62d Jan 1, 2027
📉 Alert day 3.8% → now 1% · day-one NO +2.9%
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Current US law generally doesn't treat an AI model as a legal person that can be indicted. Charging a chatbot would require a legal revolution, not just a prosecutor with an opinion.
- YES price
- 5.5%
- Money in
- $43.7K
- Deadline
- 62d Jan 1, 2027
📉 Alert day 7.5% → now 5.5% · day-one NO +2.2%
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Turning a sovereign country into the 51st state in a few weeks makes map-makers blush. Even the most ambitious geography teacher would call this a stretch.
- YES price
- 2.3%
- Money in
- $400.1K
- Deadline
- 62d Jan 1, 2027
📉 Alert day 2.9% → now 2.3% · day-one NO +0.6%